Super Rugby Pacific 2023 Status

Current Team Rankings

Club Rankings

Standings

Current Standings

Club Played Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Chiefs 10 10 184 0 5 45
Brumbies 10 8 74 1 3 36
Blues 10 7 129 3 3 34
Crusaders 10 7 110 1 4 33
Hurricanes 10 7 114 2 2 32
New South Wales Waratahs 10 4 -20 3 2 21
Queensland Reds 10 4 -15 2 1 19
Fijian Drua 10 4 -113 1 0 17
Melbourne Rebels 10 3 -79 3 0 15
Highlanders 10 3 -82 1 2 15
Western Force 10 3 -121 1 0 13
Moana Pasifika 10 0 -181 3 0 3

Projected Remaining Table

Club Matches Remaining Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Chiefs 4 3.7 49.9 0.3 3.6 18.6
Crusaders 4 3.6 43.4 0.4 3.4 18.1
Brumbies 4 3.3 36.3 0.5 3.2 16.8
Blues 4 3 25.1 0.6 2.9 15.6
New South Wales Waratahs 4 2.9 21.8 0.2 2.9 14.8
Fijian Drua 4 1.7 -5.1 1.2 1.6 9.4
Highlanders 4 1.7 -17.5 0.5 1.6 8.7
Hurricanes 4 1.4 -0.9 1.1 1.3 7.8
Western Force 4 1.1 -25.3 0.9 1 6.2
Melbourne Rebels 4 0.9 -28.6 1 0.8 5.3
Queensland Reds 4 0.8 -30.9 1.2 0.7 5.3
Moana Pasifika 4 0.1 -68 0.4 0.1 0.8

Projected Total Table

Club Total Matches Wins Point Differential Losing Bonus Points Try Bonus Points Competition Points
Chiefs 14 13.7 233.9 0.3 8.6 63.6
Brumbies 14 11.3 110.3 1.5 6.2 52.8
Crusaders 14 10.6 153.4 1.4 7.4 51.1
Blues 14 10 154.1 3.6 5.9 49.6
Hurricanes 14 8.4 113.1 3.1 3.3 39.8
New South Wales Waratahs 14 6.9 1.8 3.2 4.9 35.8
Fijian Drua 14 5.7 -118.1 2.2 1.6 26.4
Queensland Reds 14 4.8 -45.9 3.2 1.7 24.3
Highlanders 14 4.7 -99.5 1.5 3.6 23.7
Melbourne Rebels 14 3.9 -107.6 4 0.8 20.3
Western Force 14 4.1 -146.3 1.9 1 19.2
Moana Pasifika 14 0.1 -249 3.4 0.1 3.8

Projected Playoff Results

  Reach Quarterfinals Reach Semifinals Reach Final Win Final
Chiefs 100.0 % 99.8 % 91.9 % 81.8 %
Crusaders 100.0 % 99.0 % 58.1 % 13.4 %
Blues 100.0 % 95.5 % 21.8 % 2.5 %
Brumbies 100.0 % 97.9 % 28.1 % 2.3 %
Hurricanes 100.0 % 6.3 % 0.1 % 0.0 %
New South Wales Waratahs 100.0 % 1.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Queensland Reds 59.7 % 0.3 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Highlanders 58.8 % 0.2 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Fijian Drua 68.6 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Melbourne Rebels 9.5 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %
Western Force 3.4 % 0.0 % 0.0 % 0.0 %

Completed Match Review

Model Percent Correct Predictions Spread Error
Club Level 78.3% 12.3
Player Level: Lineup 68.2% 13.8
Player Level: Minutes 76.7% 13.6

Future Predictions

Week 11

Chiefs V Queensland Reds on 2023/05/12

Average Margin: Chiefs by 19.7

Western Force V Fijian Drua on 2023/05/12

Average Margin: Western Force by 3.9

New South Wales Waratahs V Melbourne Rebels on 2023/05/13

Average Margin: New South Wales Waratahs by 9.6

Crusaders V Blues on 2023/05/13

Average Margin: Crusaders by 5.8

Hurricanes V Moana Pasifika on 2023/05/13

Average Margin: Hurricanes by 21.7

Brumbies V Highlanders on 2023/05/14

Average Margin: Brumbies by 13.1

Week 12

Moana Pasifika V Crusaders on 2023/05/19

Average Margin: Crusaders by 21.0

Queensland Reds V Blues on 2023/05/19

Average Margin: Blues by 8.7

Western Force V Brumbies on 2023/05/20

Average Margin: Brumbies by 10.2

New South Wales Waratahs V Fijian Drua on 2023/05/20

Average Margin: New South Wales Waratahs by 10.4

Highlanders V Melbourne Rebels on 2023/05/20

Average Margin: Highlanders by 6.7

Chiefs V Hurricanes on 2023/05/20

Average Margin: Chiefs by 12.0

Week 13

Highlanders V Queensland Reds on 2023/05/26

Average Margin: Highlanders by 3.5

Melbourne Rebels V Western Force on 2023/05/26

Average Margin: Melbourne Rebels by 3.4

Crusaders V New South Wales Waratahs on 2023/05/27

Average Margin: Crusaders by 14.0

Fijian Drua V Moana Pasifika on 2023/05/27

Average Margin: Fijian Drua by 9.5

Brumbies V Chiefs on 2023/05/27

Average Margin: Chiefs by 2.7

Blues V Hurricanes on 2023/05/27

Average Margin: Blues by 7.5

Week 14

Brumbies V Melbourne Rebels on 2023/06/02

Average Margin: Brumbies by 16.3

Blues V Highlanders on 2023/06/02

Average Margin: Blues by 15.1

Fijian Drua V Queensland Reds on 2023/06/03

Average Margin: Queensland Reds by 0.6

Western Force V Chiefs on 2023/06/03

Average Margin: Chiefs by 16.0

New South Wales Waratahs V Moana Pasifika on 2023/06/03

Average Margin: New South Wales Waratahs by 16.3

Hurricanes V Crusaders on 2023/06/03

Average Margin: Crusaders by 3.1